FX テクニカル分析

Major Currency Pairs

EUR/USD     USD/JPY     GBP/USD

EUR/USD

September 3, 2010
Current level - 1.2821

EUR/USD is in a downtrend, after peaking at 1.5146 (Nov.25,2009). Technical indicators are descending, and trading is situated below the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.3458 and 1.4206.
 
The bias here is still positive for 1.2920 and the pair is well bid at 1.2780. Only a break below 1.27+ will mark an earlier reversal for the expected sell-off towards 1.2475.

resistance intraday intraweek 1.2854 1.2920 1.2920 1.3335

support intraday intraweek 1.2780 1.2470 1.2662 1.2150

USD/JPY

September 3, 2010
Current level - 84.11

The pair is in a broad consolidation above 84.78 short-term low. Trading is situated below the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 92.60 and 91.06.

The consolidation above 83.59 is still on the run, so one more leg upwards is to be expected, towards 85.90 high, before reversal for 82.50. Crucial on the downside is 83.59 low.

resistance intraday intraweek 84.60 88.10 86.50 93.50

support intraday intraweek 83.98 82.50 83.59 79.60

GBP/USD

September 3, 2010
Current level - 1.5424

The pair is in an uptrend after bottoming at 1.4226. Trading is situated above the 50- and 200-day SMA, currently projected at 1.4986 and 1.5539.

The intraday bias is positive for 1.5470-90, but on the 4h. frame the downtrend is intact, so a break below 1.5324 should be expected, towards 1.5118 main target. Important intraday support is seen at 1.5403.

resistance intraday intraweek 1.5490 1.5712 1.5576 1.6000

support intraday intraweek 1.5403 1.5118 1.5330 1.4810